Some of the shocks we treat
as random are not.
Solar storms and cosmic radiation correlate with measurable disruptions in the systems communities depend on: financial markets, power grids, and public health. TMRI investigates those correlations to provide advance awareness of environmental risk periods. Independent, non-profit, and rigorous about what the evidence does and does not support.
501(c)(3) public charity · EIN: 39-3484030
Feb 11 2026
Solar Energy Transfer Dynamics and Energy Commodity Volatility
Empirical evidence that PDI velocity features (SOLI, AISI) correlate with extreme energy commodity price movements 7 to 8 trading days in advance. Walk-forward validated across 20 years spanning solar cycles 23 through 25. Provides the scientific foundation for applied volatility classification systems.
Research Program
Investigating correlations between space weather phenomena and disruptions to critical infrastructure, healthcare delivery, and financial stability, so communities can prepare.
Space Weather Risk Research
- ·Correlations between heliophysics-derived indices and population-level health outcomes
- ·Correlations between solar activity and periods of elevated financial market and infrastructure stress
- ·Distinguishing statistically robust correlations from noise through walk-forward validation
- ·Translating validated findings into advance awareness for community resilience
Systems Theory Exploratory
- ·How complex systems behave normally versus under stress
- ·Where systems tend to stagnate, and what conditions allow them to adapt
- ·A descriptive framework for system evolution (exploratory, not yet validated)
- ·How this theoretical work informs our space-weather research
Research Interests
Exploratory research tracks examining correlations between space weather phenomena and terrestrial human systems.
Infrastructure
Power grid and telecommunications vulnerability during periods of elevated geomagnetic activity.
ExploratoryHuman Health
Correlations between heliophysics-derived indices and population-level mental health prevalence.
ExploratoryCognitive Science
Correlations between electromagnetic field variability and measurable changes in decision-making and cognition.
ExperimentalSocial Dynamics
Correlations between geomagnetic field variability and collective behavioral patterns at the population level.
Data AnalysisAdvance the Science
TMRI welcomes collaboration with researchers, institutions, and the public to advance the science of space weather and human systems.